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Katy ISD demographers: enrollment will dip as kindergarten cohorts shrink and Hispanic student counts fall

Board of Trustees of Katy Independent School District · November 17, 2025
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Summary

Population & Survey Analysts told Katy ISD trustees that 2025 enrollment is lower than projected and that most of the shortfall is tied to a decline in Hispanic student counts and small kindergarten cohorts; growth remains concentrated in the district’s northwest quadrant, prompting possible rezoning and new facilities planning.

Population & Survey Analysts (PASA) presented a long‑range demographic study Monday that showed Katy Independent School District’s enrollment has flattened and is expected to dip in the near term, driven largely by a fall in the district’s Hispanic student population and unusually small kindergarten cohorts.

“Katy ISD still ranks highest when you're talking about an actual increase over the last five years in all of Region 4,” said Chris Poole of PASA, emphasizing that the district’s size masks recent shifts in cohort composition. PASA staff told trustees the district’s current fall 2025 enrollment sits at about 95,260 students and that projections over the next 10 years show only modest net growth…

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