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Demographer warns Sequoia Union High faces long-term enrollment decline, housing growth won't fully offset losses
Summary
King Consulting's demographer told the Sequoia Union High School District board that declining birth cohorts are the primary driver of lower future enrollment and projected the steepest impacts to arrive around 2031; planned housing would add roughly 270 students but is insufficient to reverse the trend.
Rob Murray, director of demographics at King Consulting, told the Sequoia Union High School District board that long-term declines in local birth cohorts will likely reduce the number of students entering the district's high schools over the next decade.
"The single biggest thing'is that there are way fewer kids being born and living in your school district area," Murray said, summarizing the firm's study commissioned for the 2025-26 year. He said current feeder-grade enrollments and California birth data point to a…
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