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District demographer warns of continued enrollment decline; CAASPP results show mixed gains
Summary
SchoolWorks presented a demographic study projecting roughly 200 fewer students next year due to declining birth rates; district assessment staff reported grade-level gains in some elementary and middle grades while noting areas needing targeted intervention.
A consultant’s demographic study and the district’s CAASPP (CAST) assessment presentation were the focus of substantive discussion at the Oct. 21 El Rancho Unified School District board meeting.
Ken Reynolds of SchoolWorks, the district’s approved demographer, gave a high-level overview of enrollment trends and projections, explaining that declining local birth rates and modest new housing development are driving a multi-year decline in student populations. “We’re projecting a loss of another 200 students,” Reynolds told the board, urging planners to factor shrinking cohorts into budget and facility planning.
Reynolds highlighted…
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