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District projects 20% enrollment drop and launches Sustainable Schools Advisory to plan for consolidation
Summary
A district demographer projected enrollment falling from roughly 15,690 students in 2025 to about 12,600 by 2032; the board approved launching a Sustainable Schools Advisory to recommend school-organization scenarios and an Aspiring Higher report recommended standardizing high-school pathways to close equity gaps.
A demographer's projection and consultant reports prompted the Pajaro Valley Unified School District to begin a districtwide planning process to align facilities, grade configurations and programs to shrinking enrollment.
Cameron Arsenault of MGT presented a resident-student forecast showing a projected decline from roughly 15,690 students in 2025 to about 12,600 by 2032 — a drop of roughly 20 percent. Arsenault attributed the decline to lower birth rates, limited near-term housing growth and aging households in the district service area, noting nine active or planned housing projects totaling…
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