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Lake Elmo staff recommend amending 2040 plan after Met Council "Imagine 2050" numbers and White Bear Lake memo
Summary
City staff told the Lake Elmo council Met Council system‑statement forecasts appear low for the city after a White Bear Lake methodology memo; staff recommended a 2040 amendment to carry higher 2030/2040 projections into the 2050 plan (examples: 2030 population ~19,200; 2040 ~21,400) and asked council whether to proceed while coordinating with Met Council and DNR for water allocations.
City planning staff recommended that Lake Elmo pursue an amendment to its 2040 comprehensive plan to correct near‑term forecasts the staff believes understate current and entitled development.
Director Stilpa and planning staff told the council that the Met Council’s recent system statement (Imagine 2050 material) shows lower 2030/2040 forecasts for Lake Elmo than the staff’s internal development‑based projections. Stilpa summarized staff’s recommended technical approach: amend the adopted 2040 plan to raise the 2030 household and population forecasts and carry those updated numbers forward into the 2050 plan. "If we go forward with a comp plan amendment to our current comp plan, they would carry those…
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