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El Monte City School District warns enrollment decline will blunt budget gains

El Monte City School District Board of Education · April 22, 2026

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Summary

Superintendent and district leaders told the board that a decade‑long drop in enrollment (about 25%) and proposed federal cuts could offset a modest statutory COLA, leaving the district to balance programs and staffing while monitoring state revenue revisions.

The El Monte City School District Board heard a strategic‑plan update Tuesday evening that framed declining enrollment and state and federal budget uncertainty as the district’s primary near‑term fiscal challenges. Dr. Garcia opened the presentation and turned the detailed review over to district leaders.

Dr. Pineda summarized progress on academic and student‑support priorities and highlighted teacher training: all K–2 teachers will have completed 30 hours of Orton‑Gillingham professional development by tomorrow, with TK teachers scheduled in May and full K–2 implementation planned for the fall. She also noted the SBAC testing window will remain open through May 29.

District finance staff reported that TK–8 enrollment stands just under 6,700 students and that grade‑level cohorts have fallen about 25% over the past decade. "When we look at our TK class next year, the birth‑rate decline in 2022 means the cohort will be about 5% smaller," the finance presentation said, tying smaller cohorts to lower revenue despite a statutory COLA of roughly 2.3% per student.

Officials said state tax receipts are tracking $7–8 billion above earlier projections but cautioned the governor’s forthcoming revision may include program reductions tied to rising health‑care costs. The district noted a federal proposal that would restructure or sharply reduce funding for several K–12 programs (administrators cited possible 70% reductions to some grants in a proposal) and said it is monitoring both state and federal developments.

Board members were reminded that declines in enrollment, even with modest COLA increases, can leave the district without a net revenue gain if student head counts fall. The board did not take action on budget assumptions at the meeting; officials said they will use updated state figures released in May to finalize the 2026–27 budget.