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Walled Lake projects notable student decline over next five years, consultant says

Walled Lake Consolidated Schools Board of Education · May 8, 2026
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Summary

A consultant told the Walled Lake Consolidated Schools Board projected district enrollments could fall from about 12,863 in 2019 to roughly 10,100–11,700 over the next five to ten years depending on modeling assumptions, with declining birth rates identified as the primary driver.

Mister Wills of PMR told the Walled Lake Consolidated Schools Board that district enrollment is likely to decline noticeably over the next five to ten years, calling the statewide fall in birth rates the “most compelling factor” behind the trend.

Wills presented three projection methods that produce different totals: an aggressive Method 1 with a steeper decline, a blended Method 2 (recommended for financial modeling) and a more conservative Method 3. He said projections using Method 1 estimate the district could fall to about 10,009 full‑time equivalent (FTE) students,…

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