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Staff says Saratoga is on track for 2030 emissions goal but urges caution on assumptions
Summary
Staff reported the city is projected to exceed its 2030 greenhouse‑gas reduction target (46% below 1990 levels) under current state and regional assumptions but warned results rely heavily on EV adoption, electricity decarbonization and modeling assumptions; council pressed staff for methods and sensitivity details.
Saratoga staff presented an updated greenhouse‑gas analysis tied to the city’s Climate Action Plan and told the council its current forecast projects 2030 community emissions at about 86,564 metric tons CO2e — roughly 46% below 1990 levels, which would exceed the city's 40% reduction goal.
Mainini (staff) explained the update used Saratoga’s 2024 emissions inventory, revised growth assumptions, state regulatory projections and localized activity data (electricity consumption, vehicle miles traveled and natural‑gas use). The analysis applies emission factors from the California Air…
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