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Superintendent urges bond planning as 20-year model predicts steep enrollment, revenue drops

Randolph County Board of Education · March 17, 2026
AI-Generated Content: All content on this page was generated by AI to highlight key points from the meeting. For complete details and context, we recommend watching the full video. so we can fix them.

Summary

The superintendent presented six scenarios showing continuing student decline, an empty-seat analysis and potential $3.4M–$9M loss in state-aid over 20 years; he asked the board to begin bond planning and facility reconfiguration work sessions ahead of a possible November vote.

Superintendent Dr. Dilly told the Randolph County Board of Education that a 20-year statistical enrollment model shows a continuing decline in student enrollment with scenarios that could push district enrollment below 2,000 students by the 2040s.

He said the analysis — prepared with state education colleagues and based on program-capacity figures from the district's 2019 CFP — presents six scenarios. Under the range of modeled outcomes, the district could lose roughly $3.42 million to as much as $9 million in state-aid over 20 years if nothing else changes, he said. The…

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