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Researcher: tax-driven moves by millionaires are rare; focus on young workers to retain future high earners

Ways & Means Committee · April 21, 2026
AI-Generated Content: All content on this page was generated by AI to highlight key points from the meeting. For complete details and context, we recommend watching the full video. so we can fix them.

Summary

Professor Christoal Young told Vermont’s Ways & Means Committee that national and state-level studies show only a small share of millionaires move between states for tax reasons (about 0.3% of millionaires per year), and recommended investing revenues in amenities that retain younger, mobile workers who later become top earners.

Professor Christoal Young told the Ways & Means Committee that large administrative data and IRS analysis show tax-motivated interstate moves by millionaires are uncommon and that policy should focus on retaining younger workers who later become high earners.

Using confidential tax-return data, Young reviewed a New Jersey case that added surtaxes above $500,000 and found the number of millionaires in the state rose because more residents’ incomes grew into the bracket — not because high-earners moved in. The study estimated a net "tax flight" loss roughly equivalent to one millionaire per 2,000, a near-zero effect,…

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