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Consultant projects largely stable enrollment for Fayetteville schools over next decade

Fayetteville School District Board of Education · April 24, 2026
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Summary

An MGT demographic forecast presented to the board shows relatively flat K–12 enrollment — roughly 10,170 now to about 10,376 by 2035 — with resident kindergarten cohorts small this year but offset by rising non-resident transfers and new housing predicted to yield ~1,300 students over 10 years.

Fayetteville — A demographic study delivered to the Fayetteville School District board by consultant Cameron of MGT forecasts steady K–12 enrollment over the next decade, with modest overall growth and shifting resident/ non-resident patterns.

Cameron said the district’s 10-year projection (2026–2036) starts from four years of geocoded student data and applies birth, mobility and student-yield factors to study areas across the district. The report projects total K–12 enrollment of about 10,170 now rising slightly to roughly 10,376 by…

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