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State analysts present wildfire model showing rising suppression costs even as acres burned dip

Legislative Finance Committee - MAR (Modernization and Risk Analysis) Committee · May 14, 2026
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Summary

Legislative Fiscal Division staff showed a new wildfire model linking hazard potential, suppression spending and mitigation projects. Findings: suppression costs are rising, federal funding dominates suppression spending, mitigation projects are small but targeted, and structural losses are increasingly caused by fast‑moving grass fires.

Legislative Fiscal Division analysts presented an updated wildfire model that overlays parcel‑level wildfire hazard potential with suppression cost data and mitigation project footprints. LFD’s Alice Hecht and staff summarized preliminary findings intended to inform budget pressures on the state fire suppression account.

Key observations from the model:…

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