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Orange County updates Land Use Plan 2050 data and officials say county still falls short on affordable housing
Summary
County planners presented an updated Fact Book and housing inventory showing population and building increases but concluded Orange County is not meeting lower-income rental and for-sale housing needs; staff scheduled a March 21 retreat before public review of the draft plan.
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Orange County planners presented an updated Land Use Plan 2050 Fact Book and new housing data on March 10, saying the county has seen recent population and building increases but remains short of lower-income housing needs.
Tom Altieri, senior planner for long-range planning, said staff incorporated 2024 American Community Survey data and county permit and annexation records into a February 2026 Fact Book update and selected slides for the board. He said 480 acres annexed between 2023 and 2025 (112 acres by Hillsborough, 368 acres by Mebane) and 609 certificates of occupancy were recorded between 2024–2025, including 568 residential units and 41 commercial units.
The staff presentation aggregated approved residential activity as of January 2026 and found 11,365 approved residential units countywide, with a large share concentrated in Chapel Hill. Staff summarized approved-but-unbuilt units and construction activity, noting that multifamily approvals and construction are meeting market-rate demand while for-sale affordable and lower-income rental needs are not being met.
Planning Director Cy Stober framed the scale of the need around recent study findings gathered at the Board’s request. Vice-Chair Amy Fowler asked for clarification about a figure in the presentation, saying that the phrase “9,555 new and existing units” was confusing. Stober replied, “9,555 is needed,” and clarified that the total represents units needed at an affordable price point whether newly built or preserved through mechanisms such as land trusts.
Stober and staff also said affordable definitions vary by approval (for example, approvals at 80% AMI and 50% AMI have both been used), and Chapel Hill reported about 1,100 restricted affordable units in recent approvals. Commissioners asked for more detail on what the county should adopt as a working definition of “affordable” and requested follow-up analysis on costs, funding sources and the distribution of restricted units across municipalities and unincorporated areas.
Next procedural steps: staff said a third BOCC retreat is scheduled for March 21 to continue reviewing the preliminary draft Land Use Plan 2050 before the County launches Community Engagement Window #3; Clarion Associates’ contract Amendment #4 will need BOCC approval before the consultant and staff begin editing the draft and organizing public outreach.
The BOCC did not take a formal land-use vote at the work session; staff will return with requested clarifications and cost estimates.
