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California Earthquake Authority briefs advisory board on SB254 study, outlines liability and funding options
Summary
Tom Welch of the California Earthquake Authority presented an SB254 study to the Wildfire Safety Advisory Board outlining three policy pathways, 28 options and modeling showing militia funding and liability reforms could reshape how catastrophic wildfire losses are shared. The report highlights continued funding gaps and trade-offs between survivor recovery, utility stability and ratepayer impacts.
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Tom Welch, chief executive officer of the California Earthquake Authority, told the California Wildfire Safety Advisory Board on June 3 that the SB254 study delivered to the legislature on April 7 lays out a spectrum of policy options to strengthen the state's ability to respond to utility-caused wildfires.
Welch said the study grew out of the post‑2017 wildfire crisis and the later January 2025 urban conflagrations and sought to give lawmakers options that balance survivor recovery, utility stability and ratepayer impact. "The legislature laid out a very broad scope and we had a short period of time to complete it," Welch said, describing the study as three policy pathways, nine strategies and 28 specific options.
Why it matters: policymakers face competing goals—maintaining access to property insurance, keeping energy affordable and reliable, and reducing the physical and economic size of catastrophic wildfires. Welch emphasized that the study is not a single prescription but a set of trade-offs the legislature can use to craft law.
Key findings and numbers from the presentation included the background from AB 1054 (2019), which Welch said helped create the California Wildfire Fund and an initial capital structure of roughly $21 billion in claim‑paying capacity. He said about $10.5 billion of that capitalization effectively represented shareholder contributions, while the other half was produced by a non‑bypassable ratepayer surcharge collected through about 2035. Welch also cited initial insured‑loss estimates for the January 2025 southern California fires at roughly $15–16 billion, which drove further legislative action culminating in SB254 and a separate continuation account with up to $18 billion of additional capacity.
The study groups options into three pathways: (1) community‑level risk reduction (targeted mitigation, incentives and streamlined processes); (2) approaches to equitably socialize catastrophe burdens across insurers, utilities, plaintiffs and ratepayers (insurance market reforms, reforms to liability structure and streamlined recovery mechanisms for survivors); and (3) larger state interventions to create more durable catastrophe financing mechanisms.
The report discusses liability reform, including a range of illustrative options Welch described as "straw man" scenarios—examples included removing punitive damages exposure, capping non‑economic damages, limiting certain public‑entity claims to diminution in value, and placing limits on alternative‑living expense awards. Welch said those examples were intended to show how liability reform can materially change the long‑term cost and sustainability of a funded solution, but that such reforms come with trade‑offs for survivors' recovery paths.
Board members pressed the study team on inverse condemnation—the constitutional principle in Article I, Section 19 of the California Constitution that Welch said subjects public utilities to strict liability in many circumstances—and on how strict liability can affect utility behavior, including decisions that lead to increased public safety power shutoffs. Welch acknowledged the sensitivity and the need for legislative trade‑offs.
Welch recommended legislative action that couples efforts to shrink potential damages through mitigation with financing reforms that sustain the state’s electric system and maintain access to insurance. He concluded that the study's objective was to present options and trade‑offs for the legislature rather than to advocate for a single path. "There is no silver bullet," he said.
What comes next: Welch said the study has been submitted to the legislature and that his team has testified in informational hearings. He urged lawmakers to consider combinations of mitigation, liability structure, and funding mechanisms as they craft statutory changes. The board discussed the study and asked staff to continue coordination as the legislature considers bills this session.
Ending: The board thanked Welch for the presentation and signaled ongoing engagement as the legislature digests the study and potential statutory responses.

