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Oregon Trail SD 46 reports 1.6–1.7% enrollment drop and flags staffing reductions

Oregon Trail School District 46 Board of Directors · October 13, 2025
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Summary

District business staff told the board the district’s total enrollment is down about 1.7% (1.6% including OTA), projections match the Woolpert forecast, and funding tied to enrollment means staffing reductions are likely to align the budget.

Tim Belanger, the district’s Business Service Director, presented the enrollment report showing an overall decline of 1.7% this year when excluding Oregon Trail Academy (OTA) and 1.6% when including OTA. He said the district’s projection is in line with Woolpert’s mid‑2024 forecast and that out‑of‑district placements have been steady overall even as individual placement needs have grown.

Belanger told the board that capacity is not an immediate facility constraint, but declining enrollment reduces state funding and will require the district to downsize its budget—“most notably staffing,” the minutes state. The presentation noted new housing will feed some schools (Kelso/Byrns and Firwood/CRMS) but is not expected to offset the overall decline given the city’s moratorium on new housing development. The board received the report for discussion; no formal staffing decisions were recorded at this meeting.