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Board warned of rapid enrollment declines at some schools; class sizes shrinking at Mount Green Elementary
Summary
Scott presented enrollment projections showing steep declines at some schools; Mount Green Elementary classes that once had about 125 students are now projected in the mid-50s, which could lead to program or staffing changes.
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Scott summarized an enrollment-projection method for planning purposes and highlighted significant declines at some elementary schools. He said the projection takes current grade cohorts forward and noted Mount Green Elementary had class sizes of about 125 in prior years but the last three years ranged from 68 to 73 and the current projection shows mid-50s.
Scott warned members these declines could accelerate and would bear on staffing and budget choices to be discussed in June: "So those enrollment declines may come more quickly than we can get there on attrition." He told members they would hear more about enrollment impacts as the budget and class-size discussions proceed.
