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District cites enrollment forecasts and budget pressures as it outlines long‑range planning and boundary work
Summary
District staff described a Flow Analytics demographic forecast showing divergent enrollment trends (stagnant/declining in West Linn, growth in Wilsonville) and proposed two task forces — one on small schools and one to set boundaries for a planned Frog Pond Primary — with consultant support and mapping tools.
The long-range planning committee presented a demographic study and outlined two connected public processes: a small-schools task force and a separate task force to develop boundaries for the planned Frog Pond Primary School.
Pat McGuff, the district’s chief of operations, told the board the committee had received a Flow Analytics projection and "noted that the enrollment forecasts were declining across the district, but would continue to increase at Wilsonville schools." He described three areas the committee asked staff to analyze: core cost of operating smaller buildings, renovation costs that might be included in a future bond, and the educational impacts of consolidating programs.
To ensure broad input and an independent facilitation process, McGuff said staff recommended hiring a consultant (identified in the presentation as "3 j") and using Flow Analytics’ mapping tools for boundary scenarios. The district said the Frog Pond boundary work could be modeled "in real time" so community members can see how moving neighborhoods would affect attendance and capacity.
Board members asked about timeline, equity considerations and how the task forces will be selected; staff said two representatives from every primary school would be invited to serve on the small-schools task force and that community engagement sessions would be recorded and posted. The district emphasized that the long-range plan update is intended to inform future capital planning, possibly including a future bond proposition, and that no board decisions about closures or boundary changes have been made yet.
What happens next: staff will publish a website with FAQs and a schedule of community engagement sessions; task-force selection will be coordinated through PTA/PTO channels and public meetings will be held at multiple times to maximize participation.
