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Dickinson board weighs $3.2 million sales-tax forecast for FY2026–27; some members urge a $3.0M conservative target
Summary
Staff proposed a $3.2 million sales-tax revenue estimate for FY2026–27 based on a trailing 12-month calculation; some board members warned the figure may be optimistic and recommended lowering the estimate to $3.0 million to avoid budget shortfalls.
Staff presented the Management District's preliminary FY2026–27 revenue forecast, saying, “We are currently estimating $3,200,000 of sales tax revenue,” and explained the figure was a trailing-12-month calculation rather than a simple annualized average. The staff presenter said that number is about $800,000 less than the amount budgeted last year and that several line items were trimmed as a result.
Board members pressed the assumptions behind the number. One member said the trailing-12-month method includes higher months from the previous fiscal year and “I think it's too optimistic,” and asked for an average-based alternative. Staff agreed to prepare alternate scenarios, including a more conservative $3,000,000 forecast, and the board discussed using the lower figure if they preferred a cautious approach pending city budget decisions.
