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Arrington: Senate math and individual senators will decide how much of package survives
Summary
Arrington told the program that Senate arithmetic and the positions of individual senators — including whether the chair is willing to be overruled — will determine the ultimate makeup of the reconciliation package and whether the SAVE Act can be implemented with funding.
Arrington discussed the arithmetic the Senate would need to sustain or overturn procedural rulings and the practical challenge of securing the necessary votes. He said the chair could be overruled and that overturning an overrule requires a 60-vote threshold in the Senate. "So that is one play that could end up with a full SAVE Act with the money to implement it," he said.
He acknowledged the difficulty in recruiting enough senators to meet that threshold and discussed potential swing senators and negotiations among Senate leaders. Arrington also referenced the need for a cushion of Republican support in the Senate to protect an overrule or to persuade colleagues to accept changes to the bill.
Arrington emphasized the political dynamics at play, noting various senators are "huddling now to discuss it" and that outcomes remain uncertain until leaders and the parliamentarian weigh in.
No specific Senate vote or commitment was reported on air.
