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Finance director provides bond-and-revenue scenarios for Pilot Knoll cabins
Summary
Heather, the city's director of finance, reviewed how the 2021 park bond and CMAR pricing changed projected costs for cabins and associated infrastructure, presented occupancy and revenue models (65% and 50% scenarios), and noted contingency erosion due to inflation and supply issues.
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Heather, the city’s director of finance, walked board members through three iterations of the park bond budgeting and the CMAR-driven budget update for Pilot Knoll. She said the original bond anticipated roughly $6.4 million for park projects, later revised figures included grant expectations, and the CMAR update raised the Pilot Knoll cluster estimate (cabins, gatehouse, boat ramp and restrooms) to about $5.6 million, with cabins alone estimated at roughly $3.4 million under the CMAR model.
Heather presented occupancy-based revenue models for the proposed 16 cabins. Under a 65% occupancy projection staff estimated first-year gross revenue around $772,000 with operating expenditures and startup costs producing a net benefit after debt service that staff projected in the low hundreds of thousands annually in later years; at 50% occupancy the revenue picture drops substantially, producing a much smaller net after debt service. Heather described arbitrage and timeline constraints for spending bond proceeds and noted a three-year typical window for spending that affects decisions about reallocation of bond funds. "We have a 3 year period where it's kinda exempt," Heather said when describing the bond spending timeline.
Board members asked staff to run scenarios for fewer cabins (4, 8 or 12) with higher assumed occupancy to see whether a phased approach could meet debt-service needs and preserve what citizens approved in the bond. Heather said staff can model alternative cabin counts and occupancy rates and that infrastructure (water/sewer) costs would remain a significant driver of any scaled approach.
