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Staff tells commissioners revenue forecast is about $39 million
Summary
County staff presented a conservative revenue forecast of roughly $39,000,000 based on a 15-year regression; commissioners used the estimate to frame acceptable percentage splits and financing choices.
During the projects-and-expenditures discussion, Committee member S3 summarized the revenue analysis: "that's where we came with a $39,000,000 mark," and said the figure was conservative, based on a regression of the past 15 years. Multiple commissioners noted that recent collection performance exceeded prior cycles and that an updated forecast affects how much each jurisdiction would receive under different split scenarios.
Staff told the board some project estimates were still pending and that the revenue estimate does not lock in final project costs. Commissioners used the $39 million baseline to calculate percentage splits and to weigh whether an IGA and bond financing or a simple population distribution (pay-as-collected) would be preferable.
