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Transit study for Moraga Canyon finds shuttle would serve most riders but costliest to operate
Summary
A grant-funded feasibility study modeled three transit options for Moraga Canyon: extending AC Transit line 88 (~$275K/yr, ~55 net daily riders), extending the P line (~$338K/yr, ~60 riders), or a dedicated shuttle (~$437K/yr, ~85 riders); staff said near-term agency capacity and funding constraints make immediate service expansion unlikely.
City planning staff presented a transit-feasibility study for the Moraga Canyon specific-plan area funded by ABAG/MTC technical assistance. The consultant evaluated route options, estimated ridership and provided order‑of‑magnitude operating costs.
Interim Planning & Building Director Jeff Bond summarized the three alternatives and their cost/ridership ranges: extending AC Transit line 88 would cost about $275,000 annually and serve an estimated 55 net daily riders; extending the P (Transbay) service was estimated at about $338,000 annually with roughly 60 riders; and a dedicated shuttle would provide the largest ridership (about 85 riders) but cost the most (about $437,000 annually). "Extending line 88 ... would be in the neighborhood of $275,000 ... that would serve an estimated 55 net daily riders," Bond said. He cautioned that regional transit agencies are facing financial stress and that large new operating subsidies are unlikely in the near term; he suggested that evolving technologies (autonomous vehicles) could create lower‑cost shared mobility options in the medium to long term.
Council members asked whether a willing developer could pay for service or whether a business improvement or parcel tax model would be feasible; staff said those are policy choices for the council to discuss and that the study provides a baseline for future negotiations with developers and agencies.
