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CBO: Piedmont enrollment rose 6.5% to 2,459; multi‑year projections still show a later decline
Summary
Chief business officer Ruth Alhaddoyan told trustees the Oct. 2 census reported 2,459 students (151 more than last year), improving LCFF revenue an estimated ~$588,000 this year; staff warned the district still faces multi‑year deficit pressures without new revenue (Measure P) or cuts.
The district’s October census showed 2,459 students, a 6.5% increase over last year and 49 students above the number used in the adopted budget, CBO Ruth Alhaddoyan told the board on Oct. 9.
Alhaddoyan explained that enrollment drives LCFF funding through average daily attendance (ADA). The 49‑student increase converts to roughly 47 ADA at the district’s current attendance rates, and she estimated about $588,000 in additional revenue for the current year. She cautioned the final ADA-based revenue will not be known until spring.
Using cohort‑progression charts, the CBO showed why a single year of growth may not change the multi‑year picture: the district has a large senior cohort that will graduate next year, and absent permanent increases in incoming cohorts the projections show a decline in enrollment and a potential budget shortfall in 2026–27. Alhaddoyan said the budget assumptions include a 4% salary increase this year and a 3% assumption next year (4.5% in modeling if Measure P passes), and that without a new local revenue stream or cuts the district would face a deficit in later years.
Trustees debated whether projections were conservative and asked staff to prepare scenario analyses; some trustees suggested setting a modest salary floor in multi‑year projections to signal a priority for staff compensation. The board agreed to follow up in December’s first interim report.
