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Polling shows support below 55% threshold; board pauses November bond push
Summary
Consultants told the San Ramon Valley Unified School District board that tracking polls of likely November 2026 voters show 43–44% baseline support for a potential Prop 39 general obligation bond, rising to about 49–50% after information — still short of the 55% needed; the board signaled it will not pursue a November placement and asked staff to continue outreach.
The San Ramon Valley Unified School District board on Tuesday heard polling results that showed voter support for a potential Prop 39 general obligation bond remains below the 55% threshold required for passage.
Jeremy Hausard, a partner with TeamCivics, introduced the consultants and set the context for the polling presentation. A TeamCivics polling presenter summarized the methodology and findings, saying the firm conducted 600 interviews in mid-to-late June and that the margin of error for the full sample is roughly ±4 percentage points. The presenter said, "As a prop 39 bond measure, we would need 55% support in order to be successful." He reported baseline support at about 43–44% and that support grew to roughly 49–50% after respondents heard explanatory information about what a bond would fund, but that remained short of the level required for passage.
Board members said the results were not surprising given heightened voter sensitivity to taxes and cost-of-living pressures. Trustee Shelley Clark thanked the consultants for their candor and noted the community’s likely need for more detailed, targeted messaging. Board discussion landed on consensus not to put a bond on the November ballot; the board asked staff to continue public education about facilities needs and to revisit timing for a future election, with March 2028 identified as a realistic next target.
The presentation included specific findings the consultants said were notable: voters rate local schools positively (combined 33% excellent and 56% good in the presented trend), about 61% see some or great need for additional funding, and 63% found the argument that a bond would unlock matching state funds convincing. The poll also tested likely opposition messaging; the consultants reported that an opposition argument framed as an additional tax burden reduced support to mid-40s.
The board did not take any vote to place a bond on the ballot at this meeting. The consultants recommended continued communications and stakeholder engagement in the coming year to lay groundwork for a future measure.
