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City compares 2025 counts to 2017 Traffic Impact Study; results mixed

City Council of the City of Castle Pines · September 9, 2025
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Summary

Staff compared measured 2025 traffic counts to the 2017 Traffic Impact Study (TIS) predictions and found some turning movements were substantially different—eastbound volumes rose ~30% since 2017 while some right turns decreased—though aggregate totals were close on average.

City staff compared newly collected 2025 traffic counts with the 2017 Traffic Impact Study predictions and found the model was broadly accurate on total volumes but varied by movement. Presenters said eastbound Castle Pines Parkway traffic increased about 30% from 2017 to 2025, westbound increased less, and left‑turn movements to southbound I‑25 rose markedly. At the same time, some right‑turn movements decreased from 2017 estimates.

The comparison also noted that some 2017 modeling assumed future connections (for example, Happy Canyon) that had not been completed by 2025, which partially explains discrepancies in where traffic was observed to flow.