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District projects enrollment decline; staff uses 3-year ADA average to soften impact
Summary
Assistant Superintendent Amanda Phillips told the board the district will start 2025–26 with 6,095 students and projects a continued decline of about 125; staff said it used a prior three-year average for ADA to avoid sharp revenue swings.
District staff told the board that declining enrollment is a key driver of the proposed 2025–26 budget.
"We're starting 2526 at 6,095 and then projecting a continued decline of about a 125," Amanda Phillips said, explaining the demographer's projection and how the district combines feeder and cohort data. She added the district chose the prior three-year average for average daily attendance (ADA) because it is generally more favorable in a declining-enrollment environment and smooths out year-to-year volatility.
Phillips warned the board that state decisions (COLA levels, Prop 98 calculations and possible delays to attendance-recovery programs) could alter projections and that staff will update interims as state information becomes available.
