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Demographer tells board short-term dip in enrollment, rise projected by 2031
Summary
King Consulting presented a demographic and enrollment projection showing a near-term decrease in district enrollment due to smaller 7th–8th cohorts, with growth resuming and surpassing current levels by 2031–32; trustees received the report and asked staff to use the study in planning.
Rob Murray of King Consulting told trustees that current 7th‑ and 8th‑grade cohorts are smaller and will produce a temporary dip in high school enrollment over the next two years, followed by growth that will surpass present levels by 2031–32 as larger cohorts enter the high school pipeline.
Murray walked through student generation rates, spatial analysis and feeder-district trends, and recommended continued planning around facilities and staffing to match the projections; board members thanked the demographer and asked the superintendent to incorporate the study into budget and facilities planning.
