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Middle and high schools expected to absorb most enrollment growth
Summary
Projections show middle‑school enrollment rising substantially (West Middle School projected +364 by 2029–30) and Wayzata High School gaining hundreds of students, with high‑migration assumptions driving much of the increase.
The district’s projections show the largest relative growth in middle‑ and high‑school grades. Under the high kindergarten/high migration scenario, West Middle School enrollment is projected to rise by about 364 students (43.5%) from 836 in 2024–25 to 1,200 in 2029–30; Central and East also show gains in several scenarios. Wayzata High School is projected to grow by roughly 483–578 students in the first five years under baseline assumptions.
Reinhardt’s slides attributed the concentrated middle‑school inflow to strong grade‑to‑grade survival and net in‑migration patterns between elementary and middle school transitions. The board packet recommends that facility planning, staffing, and program planning account for larger cohorts entering and progressing through middle and high school, and it notes that some of these shifts are not yet fully reflected in current attendance boundaries.
