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County staff warn of operating‑balance declines and potential multi‑million shortfall under current assumptions
Summary
Delaware County staff told the MUST meeting that a Baker Tilly fiscal sustainability plan projects the county's operating balance could fall below target in 2027 and be negative by 2028, with a potential shortfall of several million dollars (the staff estimate cited about $6.8 million by 2029) if no policy changes occur.
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A county staff presenter summarized a fiscal sustainability analysis produced with Baker Tilly showing a decline in the county's operating balance under current assumptions.
The presenter said the county tries to keep an operating balance of about $5.5–$6 million to manage semiannual tax payments and avoid borrowing. "In 2026 that's already going to start to drop. By 2027 we see a percentage drop significant below the $5.5 million, more like $4 million ending balance. By 2028 we actually are projected to be in the negative in terms of an ending fund balance and by 2029 to the tune of several millions of dollars, 6.8 million," the county speaker said.
County staff framed the projections as contingent on current statutory changes and on how municipalities and the county adopt and allocate the new LIT categories. Staff asked the task force to gather unit‑level obligations and debt schedules, and to run scenarios that reflect existing bond and contractual commitments so those liabilities are covered in any recommended plan.
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