Panel Warns High Uncertainty for New York Revenue Forecast as Federal Policy Risks Loom

Feb 27, 2025

State budget and legislative leaders met with outside economists and university modelers and agreed the New York revenue outlook is currently uncertain; panelists urged caution, citing federal fiscal changes, proposed tariffs and immigration policy as major downside risks.

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Blake Washington, director of the New York State Division of Budget, and legislative budget leaders met with outside economists on Feb. 1 for the annual economic and revenue consensus forecasting session and emphasized a shared goal of producing an on‑time budget while warning that revenue projections face unusually large uncertainty.

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