Experts at NIST panel urge transparency and caution in using likelihood ratios for forensic testimony
Feb 13, 2026
NIST-affiliated statisticians and an Innocence Project attorney debated whether likelihood ratios should be used in court, stressing model uncertainty, the need for robust data and disclosure, and warning that courts may exclude or undermine such evidence without transparency.
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At a forensic-science panel, statisticians affiliated with the National Institute of Standards and Technology and Chris Fabricant of the Innocence Project outlined competing technical and legal challenges to using likelihood ratios to express the weight of forensic evidence.
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