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Committee flags enrollment volatility; warns overestimating could trigger clawbacks
Summary
Staff projected about 350 students (ADM ~344) and cautioned that overestimating enrollment can force districts to repay funding—staff gave an example that a 10‑student overestimate could cost roughly $120,000.
Staff warned that enrollment projections directly affect state funding and that overestimating can create future repayment obligations. "If we estimate too high, the state's just gonna pay us what we estimated ... and for us, that's like a $120,000 or more," the presenter said while explaining the consequences of reporting an inflated ADM.
The presenter estimated the district will have about 350 K–12 students and an ADM near 344, which drives budgeted revenue levels. Committee members emphasized careful tracking of kindergarten and senior cohorts because small absolute changes at this district size materially change revenue receipts.
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