ERCOT says long‑term load forecast shows large potential data‑center growth — staff urge caution

Apr 23, 2026

ERCOT told the committee its preliminary 2032 load forecast reached roughly 368,000 MW, with about 228,000 MW attributed to projected new data centers; ERCOT and PUC staff said the forecast likely includes speculative entries and that rules are being developed to filter out projects that are not 'real.'

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Nathan Bigby, chief regulatory counsel at ERCOT, told the House Committee on State Affairs that the system operator's preliminary long‑term load forecast for 2032 — prepared under an interim methodology — shows about 368,000 megawatts, and that an estimated 228,000 megawatts of that total are projected data‑center load.

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