San Rafael contracts tactical evacuation modeling to identify choke points and refuge areas

Sep 8, 2026

Staff described a 12-month tactical evacuation study with a firm (Ladris) to model egress, contraflow options and refuge areas, and to prioritize fire-resilient roads and vegetation management to improve survivability during fast-moving wildfires.

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The commission heard a briefing on tactical evacuation planning that will use traffic and evacuation modeling to identify choke points, potential contraflow configurations, and candidate refuge areas such as school and park parking lots. Staff said they have begun work with a firm called Ladris and plan a 12-month modeling effort to understand where traffic volumes and roadway constraints could create evacuation bottlenecks.

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