Council questions population forecasts used in comp plan update
Summary
Council members raised concerns that University of Florida projections may overstate growth for a largely built-out Indian Shores; presenter said projections account for land availability and that the medium projection is roughly 124 residents higher than the low forecast.
During the comp plan presentation, councilors questioned whether the University of Florida projections were appropriately tailored to Indian Shores’ nearly built-out character. One council member said the medium projection “struck me as somewhat on the high side” given local demographics and minimal new development capacity.
Planner Hadley Peterson replied that the Bureau of Economic and Business Research produces local-jurisdiction projections that account for land availability and that the town chose the medium series because it aligns with local trends. She quantified the difference between medium and low at about 124 residents and described the medium scenario as assuming modest redevelopment rather than rezoning for large-scale growth.
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